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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.59+6.52vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.41+7.25vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52+3.85vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.42+5.10vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.07+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.95-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.53-3.21vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53-4.08vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.01-0.89vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.26-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia1.92-8.00vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria0.74-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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4.36Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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10.25University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.85Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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9.11Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.31Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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4.0University of British Columbia1.920.2%1st Place
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7.28University of Victoria0.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Shaver | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Chloe Dawson | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 29.4% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Steven Dieleman | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 30.2% |
| Laura Smit | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Connor Hughes | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 12.2% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Erik Skeel | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 15.4% |
| Kendall Kracke | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.