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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+3.99vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+4.26vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.53+0.48vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01+3.59vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.42+3.71vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.74-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.49+1.85vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53-4.57vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.07-4.39vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.59-4.22vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.41-2.11vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.26-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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5.99University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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7.26Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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4.48University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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8.59Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Victoria0.740.1%1st Place
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9.85University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.03Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 19.6% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Erik Skeel | 15.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nikoline Alden | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 23.1% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 24.8% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smit | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Shaver | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 25.1% |
| Kendall Kracke | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.