Race 4A

sea-to-sky

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Hughes 8.2% 9.5% 10.0% 8.8% 10.1% 8.9% 10.1% 9.4% 9.3% 6.5% 5.7% 2.4% 1.1%
Erik Skeel 14.4% 13.7% 15.8% 12.8% 10.2% 9.5% 9.3% 5.3% 5.4% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Laura Smit 8.7% 9.4% 10.1% 11.8% 10.4% 9.9% 9.2% 10.4% 6.8% 6.6% 3.7% 2.3% 0.7%
Kia Meiklejohn 5.8% 8.5% 6.9% 8.3% 9.9% 9.7% 9.3% 10.1% 9.0% 9.5% 6.1% 5.0% 1.9%
Nikoline Alden 4.2% 3.4% 3.4% 5.0% 5.6% 6.4% 6.4% 7.3% 9.5% 11.8% 12.2% 13.5% 11.3%
Chloe Dawson 20.7% 17.5% 15.2% 11.4% 9.4% 8.6% 6.4% 5.8% 2.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathaniel Gordon 16.1% 14.7% 13.0% 13.3% 10.6% 9.6% 8.7% 5.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Steven Dieleman 2.0% 3.2% 3.1% 2.3% 3.7% 3.8% 5.0% 6.2% 6.6% 10.8% 12.5% 19.5% 21.3%
Ryan Van Slyck 5.9% 6.0% 5.5% 6.2% 8.0% 8.8% 9.9% 9.3% 10.2% 10.6% 8.5% 6.9% 4.2%
Kendall Kracke 4.8% 5.2% 4.8% 4.9% 5.9% 9.1% 8.4% 8.3% 12.2% 7.9% 12.1% 8.9% 7.5%
Colin Bishop 2.1% 1.7% 3.1% 3.2% 4.9% 4.4% 5.1% 6.4% 7.4% 11.0% 14.7% 14.7% 21.3%
Dylan Shaver 5.2% 5.8% 6.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% 10.3% 9.3% 10.9% 7.7% 7.1% 3.7%
Jonah Cadieux-Johnson 1.9% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 2.8% 3.1% 4.3% 5.5% 8.1% 9.3% 12.8% 18.1% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.