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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.70+6.67vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.53+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.07+1.65vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.41+4.20vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.26+1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.74-1.40vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.49+1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.59-2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.42-0.40vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.01-2.67vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound1.21-7.91vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.95-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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4.36Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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8.46Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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9.23Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Victoria0.740.1%1st Place
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11.54University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.33Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Puget Sound1.210.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georg Lauritsen | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Dawson | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 20.7% |
| Kendall Kracke | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 25.0% |
| Dylan Shaver | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 24.1% |
| Nikoline Alden | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% |
| Samuel Jones | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Hughes | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.