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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.70+4.99vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.95+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07+2.08vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.53-0.18vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.26+2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.53-2.48vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.42+2.44vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.52-1.14vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.74-2.92vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.01-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.49-1.27vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.41-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria0.59-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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6.99University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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8.71Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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10.44University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.86Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Victoria0.740.1%1st Place
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9.43Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.73University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 19.7% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Georg Lauritsen | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Connor Hughes | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Laura Smit | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Erik Skeel | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kendall Kracke | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 24.4% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 23.7% |
| Colin Bishop | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 21.6% |
| Dylan Shaver | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.