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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+5.32vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+1.99vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.70+4.22vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.53+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.53-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.49+4.79vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52+0.53vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.01+1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.41+1.58vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.74-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.59-3.40vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.26-3.44vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.07-7.04vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.42-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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3.99Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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7.22University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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10.79University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.53Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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9.28Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Victoria0.740.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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8.56Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Chloe Dawson | 20.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Georg Lauritsen | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Erik Skeel | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 25.4% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% |
| Colin Bishop | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 20.9% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Shaver | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Kendall Kracke | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Laura Smit | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.