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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+5.35vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.70+4.97vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.75+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.53+0.78vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.26+3.69vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.59+1.66vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52+0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.42+2.39vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.49+1.75vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.41+0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.07-4.82vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.01-2.60vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria0.74-5.96vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.53-9.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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6.97University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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4.08Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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8.69Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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7.48Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.75University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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9.4Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Victoria0.740.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Georg Lauritsen | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Chloe Dawson | 18.5% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kendall Kracke | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Dylan Shaver | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Steven Dieleman | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 24.1% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 23.4% |
| Colin Bishop | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 23.1% |
| Laura Smit | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nikoline Alden | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Erik Skeel | 15.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.