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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.16+5.93vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+2.06vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.12+2.84vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.11+1.12vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.60+2.04vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.69+3.55vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.17-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.30-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.05-3.47vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.08-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.69-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.74-10.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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5.06Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Washington-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.12University of British Columbia0.110.1%1st Place
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8.04Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.86Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Victoria-0.050.1%1st Place
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9.24Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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2.58University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 15.6% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Wolcott | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Alex Birkenshaw | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Shear | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
| Emma Reynolds | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 21.7% | 33.7% |
| Lena Captain | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Theo Truax | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 12.5% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 22.0% | 37.6% |
| Karl Skeel | 35.9% | 23.1% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.