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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+3.10vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.30+4.34vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.12+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.74-2.45vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.11-0.95vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.17-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.05-2.38vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.60-1.95vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.08-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.69-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.69-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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5.06Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Washington-0.120.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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6.79University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.05University of British Columbia0.110.1%1st Place
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6.83Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Victoria-0.050.1%1st Place
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8.05Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.17Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 14.6% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Theo Truax | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Wolcott | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Karl Skeel | 35.5% | 24.1% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Alex Birkenshaw | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Lena Captain | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Spencer Shear | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 12.2% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 22.4% | 36.5% |
| Emma Reynolds | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.