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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.52+4.51vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.16+5.23vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia1.92-0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.93+0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.74-2.05vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.12+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.69+3.66vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.05-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.30-1.38vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.17-2.77vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.60-2.80vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.08-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.69-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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2.64University of British Columbia1.920.3%1st Place
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4.5University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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7.05University of Washington-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Victoria-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.23Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.2Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.64Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Ward | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 31.3% | 24.8% | 18.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Karl Skeel | 26.5% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wolcott | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Emma Reynolds | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 22.3% | 33.3% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Theo Truax | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Lena Captain | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Spencer Shear | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 20.1% | 14.7% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.