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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.52+4.51vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia1.92+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.74-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.93+0.53vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.17+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.05+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.69+3.68vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.60+0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.30-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.12-2.88vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.16-3.97vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.08-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.69-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.62University of British Columbia1.920.3%1st Place
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2.94University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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4.53University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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7.17Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Victoria-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.28Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Washington-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.64Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Ward | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 31.7% | 26.5% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 25.9% | 22.8% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lena Captain | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Emma Reynolds | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 21.8% | 33.4% |
| Spencer Shear | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Theo Truax | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Wolcott | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.4% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 15.0% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.