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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia1.92+0.71vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16+4.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.93-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.12+1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.05+0.56vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.08+2.75vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.11-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.69+2.25vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.17-2.91vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.31-0.44vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.60-3.46vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.30-5.62vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-1.69-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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2.71University of British Columbia1.920.3%1st Place
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5.88Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Washington-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Victoria-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.75Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.12University of British Columbia0.110.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.09Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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9.54Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 25.6% | 23.1% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 31.5% | 24.0% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 2.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Hayden Potter | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wolcott | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 10.7% |
| Alex Birkenshaw | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 30.2% |
| Lena Captain | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| Spencer Shear | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Theo Truax | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Emma Reynolds | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.