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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.92+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.11+3.04vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.52+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16+1.85vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.08+3.10vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.17-0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.12-1.25vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.60-0.89vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.69+0.75vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.30-3.76vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.69-1.39vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.05-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of British Columbia1.920.3%1st Place
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3.03University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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7.04University of British Columbia0.110.0%1st Place
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5.94Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.1Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.75Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Washington-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.11Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Victoria-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 31.2% | 24.5% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 25.2% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Birkenshaw | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 13.0% |
| Lena Captain | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Alexander Wolcott | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Shear | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 22.3% | 35.9% |
| Theo Truax | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Emma Reynolds | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 34.9% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.