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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.92+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.74+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.30+4.19vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16+2.84vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52-0.04vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.17+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.12-0.39vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.60+0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.05-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.11-3.94vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.69-0.25vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.69-1.40vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.08-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of British Columbia1.920.3%1st Place
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4.69University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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8.19University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.96Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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7.54Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Washington-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.13Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Victoria-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.06University of British Columbia0.110.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.22Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 30.0% | 26.0% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 10.7% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 25.1% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theo Truax | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lena Captain | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Wolcott | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Spencer Shear | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 5.3% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Alex Birkenshaw | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 21.2% | 36.1% |
| Emma Reynolds | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 20.0% | 35.8% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.