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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.92+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.74+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.11+3.07vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.52+0.99vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.30+2.29vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.05+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.16-0.28vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.17-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.12-2.21vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.60-1.96vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.69-0.30vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.08-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.69-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of British Columbia1.920.3%1st Place
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4.65University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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7.07University of British Columbia0.110.0%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Victoria-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.9Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Washington-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.04Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.25Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 30.1% | 26.6% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 25.7% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Birkenshaw | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Theo Truax | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Lena Captain | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Wolcott | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Spencer Shear | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 21.0% | 35.0% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 14.9% |
| Emma Reynolds | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 22.5% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.