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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+1.52vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.15+2.93vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+0.41vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.76+1.55vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.60-2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59-1.72vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.30-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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4.93Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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3.41Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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5.55Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
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2.76College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.54Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 32.0% | 24.2% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 24.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 16.0% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Isabella Lemole | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 42.9% |
| Mary Dahl | 25.1% | 25.7% | 19.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Louise Currie | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 11.0% |
| Shaynah True | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 23.1% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.