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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+1.51vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.15+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+1.24vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.60-1.25vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.76+0.54vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.30-1.25vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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4.92Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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2.75College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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5.54Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
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4.75Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.28Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 32.3% | 25.3% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 24.1% | 22.9% |
| Louise Currie | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 10.8% |
| Mary Dahl | 25.5% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Lemole | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 41.3% |
| Shaynah True | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 20.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 17.8% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.