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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+1.56vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.30+2.68vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60-0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.59+0.29vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.15-0.06vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-2.58vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.76-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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4.68Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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2.73College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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4.29University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.94Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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3.42Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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5.38Florida State University0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 31.3% | 24.6% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Shaynah True | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 18.5% |
| Mary Dahl | 25.8% | 26.9% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Louise Currie | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 11.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 23.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 15.7% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Isabella Lemole | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.