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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+8.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.94vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+1.80vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.72vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.33+0.78vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.69vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.74+4.94vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64+0.44vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.74-0.80vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.30+0.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.71-6.45vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-4.11vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29+0.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-4.10vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-0.98vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.60-7.39vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.79-4.90vs Predicted
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19Queen's University1.06-1.13vs Predicted
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20University of Miami1.09-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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6.94Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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4.8Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.78Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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9.44College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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11.05Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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5.55Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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14.79Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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15.02Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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9.61SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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17.87Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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17.89University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Mac Mace | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Britton Steele | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.2% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Laura Stamets | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 6.5% |
| Harry Scott | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| William Schwenger | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 11.4% | 24.7% | 40.3% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 25.0% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.