← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.73+1.50vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.15+2.90vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.30+1.71vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.60-1.22vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.59-0.69vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.14-2.57vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.76-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
-
4.9Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.71Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
-
2.78College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
-
4.31University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
-
3.43Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
-
5.36Florida State University0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 32.8% | 24.7% | 18.6% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 5.8% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| Shaynah True | 7.2% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 20.1% |
| Mary Dahl | 25.7% | 24.2% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Louise Currie | 7.4% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 12.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 15.7% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 4.1% |
| Isabella Lemole | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.