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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.59+2.24vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60-0.27vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.30+0.76vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.76+0.52vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-2.58vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.15-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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4.24University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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2.73College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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4.76Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.52Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
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3.42Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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4.76Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 31.4% | 24.5% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Louise Currie | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 12.4% |
| Mary Dahl | 26.0% | 24.9% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Shaynah True | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 21.2% | 20.1% |
| Isabella Lemole | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 40.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 16.1% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 24.2% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.