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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+0.54vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.15+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.59+0.27vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.30-0.27vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-2.59vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.76-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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2.54University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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4.95Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.73Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.41Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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5.4Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 28.3% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 30.1% | 26.5% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 25.2% |
| Louise Currie | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 10.6% |
| Shaynah True | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 19.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 15.8% | 17.2% | 21.6% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Isabella Lemole | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 22.3% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.