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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+1.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+1.28vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.15+0.99vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.30-0.28vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-2.59vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.76-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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2.69College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.99Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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4.72Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.41Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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5.37Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 31.6% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mary Dahl | 26.5% | 25.7% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Louise Currie | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 12.3% |
| Sophie Salomon | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 23.5% | 24.5% |
| Shaynah True | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 18.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 16.6% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Isabella Lemole | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.