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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.30+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+0.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60-0.29vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.15+1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59-0.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-2.57vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.76-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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2.53University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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2.71College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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5.02Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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3.43Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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5.38Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaynah True | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 17.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 29.0% | 27.8% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 27.9% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 25.6% |
| Louise Currie | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 11.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 16.6% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Isabella Lemole | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.