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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+1.73vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.30+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73-0.46vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14-0.58vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.15-0.01vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.76-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.59-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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4.72Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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2.54University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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3.42Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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4.99Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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5.51Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 27.3% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Shaynah True | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 23.6% | 18.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 28.4% | 28.5% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 17.2% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 22.1% | 25.9% |
| Isabella Lemole | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 41.1% |
| Louise Currie | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.