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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+0.54vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.15+1.93vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.76+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59-0.66vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.30-1.30vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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2.54University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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4.93Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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5.54Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
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4.34University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.7Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.27Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 29.7% | 23.2% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 28.4% | 28.9% | 19.0% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 24.5% | 22.7% |
| Isabella Lemole | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 21.6% | 40.6% |
| Louise Currie | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 13.0% |
| Shaynah True | 7.2% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 18.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 18.0% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.