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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+1.72vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.76+3.48vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73-0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.59+0.29vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.30-0.25vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-2.57vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.15-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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5.48Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
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2.56University of South Florida2.730.3%1st Place
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4.29University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.75Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.43Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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4.76Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 27.5% | 24.0% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Isabella Lemole | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 21.2% | 39.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 29.7% | 26.2% | 19.7% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Louise Currie | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 12.3% |
| Shaynah True | 6.6% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 20.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 15.8% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 22.9% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.