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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.90+0.68vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.97vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68University of Southern California0.9050.9%1st Place
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3.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2610.3%1st Place
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2.03University of California at Berkeley0.7431.5%1st Place
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3.27Arizona State University-0.397.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Morgana Manti | 50.9% | 33.2% | 12.4% | 3.4% |
Florence Duff | 10.3% | 15.7% | 36.6% | 37.4% |
Katherine Olsen | 31.5% | 39.5% | 23.1% | 5.9% |
Sadie Hoberman | 7.2% | 11.6% | 27.9% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.