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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+5.31vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.33+3.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+5.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.70+3.98vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+7.77vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.74+5.46vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.27vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.30+1.19vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+0.22vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.83vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20+2.57vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.74-4.60vs Predicted
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14Brown University4.30-7.38vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.71-9.84vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-8.22vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.79-4.81vs Predicted
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18Queen's University1.06-0.89vs Predicted
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19University of Miami1.09-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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13.77Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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10.19Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.17SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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14.57Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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8.4University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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5.16Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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17.11Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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16.77University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 17.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 6.3% |
| Hunter Mumma | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Stamets | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 7.7% |
| Britton Steele | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| William Schwenger | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 22.2% | 42.7% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 23.4% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.