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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.76vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+5.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.19+6.91vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+4.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+0.30vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+1.10vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09-0.42vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92-0.86vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+3.60vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-1.65vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.12vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.30+0.95vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-7.37vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-2.16vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University0.85-0.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-5.55vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.8University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.91Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.58College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.6Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.35George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.95Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.63Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.84Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.21North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maeve White | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 14.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Shaynah True | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 20.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 8.9% |
| Kara Wheeler | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 40.4% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.