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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.53vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73+4.87vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+4.22vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+2.04vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.50+6.57vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-0.06vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19+1.76vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-0.38vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-4.47vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-4.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.60vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.97vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.85+0.28vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.30-2.00vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-4.20vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.87University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.04Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.57Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.76Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.62George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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5.53Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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14.28North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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13.0Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.8Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.29Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Maeve White | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 15.6% |
| Emma White | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kara Wheeler | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 38.7% |
| Shaynah True | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 21.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.