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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+3.51vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+4.19vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+3.02vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.53vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-0.36vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+1.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.20vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-2.28vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.19-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.73-2.89vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+0.38vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-4.74vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-2.14vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.30-2.02vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.85-1.71vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.19Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.51George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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6.72College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.87Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.11University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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12.38Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.86Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.98Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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14.29North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Paris Henken | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 14.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.4% |
| Shaynah True | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 20.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 37.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.