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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+4.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+5.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.19+6.96vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.65vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+3.05vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+1.14vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73+0.93vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.59vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-1.68vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.08vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-1.90vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-7.50vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-1.50vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.71-3.36vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.85-1.71vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.30-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.12Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.96Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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6.65College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.93University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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5.5Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.5Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.64Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.29North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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13.04Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Paris Henken | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Emma White | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 37.8% |
| Shaynah True | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.