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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+6.02vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+3.29vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.93vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.78vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+3.31vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.36vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.50+5.33vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-2.44vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.73-0.93vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-3.15vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.19-0.96vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-1.87vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-6.27vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.43vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.30-2.04vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-4.25vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.85-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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12.33Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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5.56Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.07University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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6.85Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.04Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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10.13Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.73College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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12.96Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.75Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.31North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Emma White | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Paris Henken | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Shaynah True | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 21.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 9.4% |
| Kara Wheeler | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.