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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.93vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.60+7.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.33+2.36vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+0.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.92-1.46vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+3.41vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.70+1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.74+3.17vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-3.57vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-1.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy4.09-4.51vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-2.87vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20+0.38vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.74-6.47vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.29-2.11vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.79-4.81vs Predicted
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18Queen's University1.06-0.90vs Predicted
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19University of Miami1.09-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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9.21SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.36Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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4.54Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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10.41Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.03College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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14.38Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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13.89Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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17.1Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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16.8University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 19.5% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Mumma | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Laura Stamets | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 6.9% |
| Britton Steele | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 5.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| William Schwenger | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 21.3% | 42.7% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.