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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+4.13vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.54+5.39vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+4.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+3.69vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+1.56vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35+5.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.24+1.55vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.49vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.04vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-2.68vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-4.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+0.27vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-8.19vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.77-3.58vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.28-0.61vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.35-0.32vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.86-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.8Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.69Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.56George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.87Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.55University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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4.81College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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10.42Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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14.39Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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15.68North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.04Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 14.0% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Martina Sly | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Downey | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 5.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 28.6% | 27.9% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 20.4% | 56.7% |
| Paula Resto | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.