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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+5.28vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+4.64vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+5.53vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.73vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+2.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+1.78vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55+0.47vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.46-0.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-3.60vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.28+4.51vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-6.17vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.35-0.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-1.58vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-4.73vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.35-0.33vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.86-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.64George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.47Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.4Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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14.51Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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4.83College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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11.66Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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15.67North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.02Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Riley Legault | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Martina Sly | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 29.7% | 25.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 16.4% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Julia Downey | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 7.3% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 57.6% |
| Paula Resto | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.