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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.54+6.33vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+5.38vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+5.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+8.36vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+1.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+0.63vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.46+0.78vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-0.56vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.28+5.58vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35+1.71vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-5.63vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-7.23vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.86-2.90vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.20vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-6.28vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.77-5.70vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.35-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.38Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.54University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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6.52George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.58Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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11.71Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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5.37Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.77College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.1Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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10.3Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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15.67North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Martina Sly | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Julia Downey | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 6.2% |
| Riley Legault | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 32.3% | 27.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.6% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.