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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.24+7.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+10.30vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+2.28vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+0.81vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+2.34vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.86+4.11vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50+0.61vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54-0.65vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-2.43vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-3.43vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.46-3.11vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.33vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.35-1.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.13vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-4.75vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.28-1.41vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.35-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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5.28Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.81College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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7.34Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.11Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.57George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.77Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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10.25Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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14.59Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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15.66North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Knoles | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Downey | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 6.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Paula Resto | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 5.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 33.4% | 26.2% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 16.8% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.