← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.24+6.93vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.55+5.01vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.50+4.21vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.46+3.46vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.37-0.54vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+6.01vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.20-1.88vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.76-1.68vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.84-2.69vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.54-2.96vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.35+0.19vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University0.30+2.01vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University0.28+1.04vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.53vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.15-3.29vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-8.65vs Predicted
-
17North Carolina State University-0.35-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.93University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
-
7.01Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.21Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.46Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
4.46College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
-
12.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
-
5.12Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.32George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.31Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
7.04Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
11.19Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
14.01Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
-
14.04Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
-
8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
11.71Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
15.36North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Knoles | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Martina Sly | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 18.7% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Downey | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Courtney Purcell | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 24.2% | 20.8% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 20.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.