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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+3.51vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+4.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+2.16vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+1.59vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.26vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+1.59vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.46+0.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.25vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.30+5.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+1.92vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-4.34vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-3.79vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.15-1.12vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.55-6.67vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.35-3.83vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.35-0.62vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.28-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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6.24Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.59Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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14.14Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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11.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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6.66George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.21University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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11.88Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.33Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.17Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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15.38North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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14.17Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 16.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Purcell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 20.0% |
| Julia Downey | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Riley Legault | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 4.1% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 21.0% | 47.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 23.6% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.