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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+5.35vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+3.44vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+1.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+3.48vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.24+3.12vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+1.40vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84-0.75vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+3.04vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.46-1.28vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.71vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-5.68vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.15-0.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.35vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-1.97vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.30-1.06vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.28-1.88vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.35-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.44Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.62College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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7.48Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.12University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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7.4Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.04Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.32Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.84Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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13.94Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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14.12Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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15.39North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Martina Sly | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Julia Downey | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Courtney Purcell | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 24.8% | 20.0% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 21.0% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 19.0% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.