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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+4.61vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+4.42vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+4.83vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.35+7.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+0.18vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37-1.11vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.67vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.24-0.27vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.15+2.19vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.86-1.01vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-5.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-5.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-1.61vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-6.24vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.28-1.53vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.35-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.56Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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5.18Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.89College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.73University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.19Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.99Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.67George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.72Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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14.47Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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15.65North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 6.0% |
| Paula Resto | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Riley Legault | 8.8% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Downey | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 6.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 28.4% | 25.5% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 19.6% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.