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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+4.56vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+4.59vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+3.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.46+3.84vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+2.42vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+2.71vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-2.74vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-4.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+2.28vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.12vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.15+0.16vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.55-5.46vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.35-2.27vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.86-5.12vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.28-1.55vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.35-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.59George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.71University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.26Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.92College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.54Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.73Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.88Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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14.45Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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15.64North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Downey | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 6.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 5.1% |
| Martina Sly | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% |
| Paula Resto | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 27.2% | 25.6% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 18.0% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.