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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+6.13vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+2.72vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.74+1.69vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+1.13vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.92-5.63vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.82vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.33-5.37vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.29+0.77vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.74-2.72vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-1.79vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.79-4.84vs Predicted
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18Queen's University1.06-0.89vs Predicted
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19University of Miami1.09-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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6.58Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.13College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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5.12Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.69University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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4.37Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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9.18SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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6.63Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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13.77Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.44Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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14.21Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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17.11Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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16.79University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Britton Steele | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.9% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 5.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Mumma | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Laura Stamets | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 6.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| William Schwenger | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 22.1% | 42.9% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 23.4% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.