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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.90+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.02vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.260.00vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71University of Southern California0.9049.5%1st Place
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2.02University of California at Berkeley0.7432.6%1st Place
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3.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2610.2%1st Place
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3.27Arizona State University-0.397.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 49.5% | 33.2% | 14.2% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Olsen | 32.6% | 39.0% | 22.6% | 5.8% |
| Florence Duff | 10.2% | 15.9% | 37.2% | 36.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 7.6% | 11.8% | 25.9% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.