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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.75vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+7.31vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.71vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.40vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.30+5.86vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.33+0.86vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-1.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.09-0.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.74-0.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+0.01vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.64-2.18vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.08vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29+0.80vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.74-1.96vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.60-6.40vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-2.02vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.79-4.93vs Predicted
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19Queen's University1.06-1.13vs Predicted
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20University of Miami1.09-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.86Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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6.86Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.8Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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14.8Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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9.6SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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14.98Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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17.87Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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17.88University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Britton Steele | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Mac Mace | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 7.7% |
| Hunter Mumma | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Harry Scott | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Laura Stamets | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 6.7% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| William Schwenger | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 25.4% | 40.2% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 23.5% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.