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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+4.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.34+7.55vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.85+4.49vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont4.60+4.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.28+4.76vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.76+1.71vs Predicted
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7Washington College4.25+3.32vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.00+9.90vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-1.71vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-1.05vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92+0.56vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.33-2.11vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.47+0.76vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.52-5.22vs Predicted
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15University of Washington2.87+0.55vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.99-4.88vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.64-4.52vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College4.15-7.54vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.74-6.78vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin4.10-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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9.76Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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10.32Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
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17.9Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.56Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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13.76Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.78Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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15.55University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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12.48Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.46SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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12.22University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Barrows | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Blouin | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 16.0% | 53.6% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 7.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Peter Stemler | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Britton Steele | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.