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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.09+6.69vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.60vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+6.67vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.64vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.33+1.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+3.39vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.74+5.03vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.69vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-3.10vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.74-1.75vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29+2.87vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.92-7.91vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-3.01vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-5.07vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.79-4.18vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.09-0.13vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-4.02vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.06-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.67College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.72Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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14.87Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.09Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.67SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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17.87University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
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14.98Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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17.94Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Hayes | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Britton Steele | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Harry Scott | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 25.1% | 40.2% |
| Laura Stamets | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 6.7% |
| William Schwenger | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 24.1% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.