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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+3.39vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.63+3.43vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+4.60vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.31vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.08+1.78vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.55vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.82+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.40-2.03vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.08-3.09vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.61-2.89vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame1.92-4.42vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.81-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.43Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.6Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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4.31Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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6.78Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.45SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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7.55Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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5.97University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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8.45Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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8.11Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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12.47Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 1.6% |
| John Hanna | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Peirson | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 1.8% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Conner Killham | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 3.6% |
| Max Thompson | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| James Mcavoy | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 2.7% |
| Christian Cyrul | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 2.0% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 85.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.