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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.31vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.08+4.98vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+1.40vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.63+1.40vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.82+2.56vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.88+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.40-1.04vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.50vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame1.92-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.08-4.29vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.61-3.56vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.81-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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6.98Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.4Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.4Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.56Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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7.43Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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5.5SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.47Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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8.44Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.47Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 16.3% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Peirson | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 1.9% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 1.6% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Conner Killham | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 3.4% |
| Christian Cyrul | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 1.7% |
| Max Thompson | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| James Mcavoy | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 3.3% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.